NFL · Week 1 · September 13, 2026
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders prediction, odds and preview
Current market, injury report, venue, weather and decision context for 3:25 PM CT. Data updates as providers post changes.
Miami Dolphins0-0 · +3.5 (-110)+164DraftKings
Las Vegas Raiders0-0 · -3.5 (+101)-172FanDuelCurrent market snapshot
Las Vegas Raiders are favored by 3.5
The best displayed moneylines are Miami Dolphins +164 and Las Vegas Raiders -172. After removing the paired-market hold, that implies roughly 37.5% versus 62.5%. This is not an independent model probability.
- Consensus spread
- Las Vegas Raiders -3.5
- Consensus total
- 40.5
- Model status
- Coverage only
Game environment
Venue, surface and weather
- Venue
- Allegiant Stadium
- Location
- Las Vegas, NV
- Surface / roof
- Grass · Indoor
- Forecast
- Indoor game
Price context
Two-sided markets
- Moneyline
- Dolphins +164 · Raiders -172
- Spread prices
- +3.5 (-110) · -3.5 (+101)
- No-vig market
- Dolphins 37.5% · Raiders 62.5%
- Last page update
- 4:46 PM CT
Availability report
Injuries and player status
Statuses can change quickly. Recheck inactive lists and credible team reporting before kickoff.
Las Vegas Raiders
- Ashton Jeanty RBquestionable · Ankle
- Chase Roberts WRInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Dont'e Thornton Jr. WRInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Carter Runyon TEInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Keyron Crawford DEInjured Reserve · Ankle
Miami Dolphins
- Storm Duck CBout · Knee
- Trey Moore LBInjured Reserve · Ankle
- Darrell Baker Jr. CBout · Undisclosed
- Kenneth Grant DTInjured Reserve · Leg
- Will Kacmarek TEquestionable · Undisclosed
Deep-dive checklist
What still decides whether the number is playable
Quarterback and skill availability
Confirm the starting quarterback, mobility and throwing health, protection changes, receiver roles and expected snap limits.
Trenches in both directions
Measure pass protection versus pressure, run blocking versus front strength, injuries, continuity and likely game-script leverage.
Efficiency and explosiveness
Separate sustainable early-down success and EPA from turnovers, short fields, broken plays and red-zone variance.
Coverage and matchup usage
Evaluate outside, slot, tight-end and running-back receiving roles against the opponent’s coverage structure and personnel.
Coaching, pace and special teams
Account for fourth-down decisions, neutral pace, pass rate, kicking, punting, returns and field-position effects.
Travel, rest and weather
Verify body-clock travel, short weeks, altitude, surface, roof, wind and precipitation at the actual kickoff window.
Sports Rounders NFL policy
Research page, not an Official Play.
The market favorite, public narrative or injury list cannot manufacture an edge. NFL recommendations remain unavailable until a distinct NFL model and prospective validation gate exist.
Las Vegas Raiders -3.5
Key-number movement through 3, 6, 7, 10 and 14 can materially change value.
40.5 points
Pace, neutral pass rate, explosive plays, red-zone efficiency, weather and injuries require a separate scoring forecast.
No customer pick
This page will never silently turn market consensus into a proprietary recommendation.
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