NFL · Week 3 · September 27, 2026

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prediction, odds and preview

Saved market consensus, availability and game context for 12:00 PM CT.

Market prediction · NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars to win · 59.0%

Median no-vig moneyline from 6 independent books · oldest contributing quote Sep 27, 11:44 AM CT.

Market-implied score: New England Patriots 21.8 · Jacksonville Jaguars 24.8 · Final: New England Patriots 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 35

Market consensus, not a bet recommendation.

Season market-prediction record →

Best price by side

Moneyline · New England Patriots+136DraftKings · Sep 27, 11:44 AM CT · +1.5¢ vs median price
Moneyline · Jacksonville Jaguars-157BetRivers · Sep 27, 11:44 AM CT · +2.5¢ vs median price
Spread · New England Patriots+3 · -110BetMGM · Sep 27, 11:45 AM CT · +2¢ vs median price
Spread · Jacksonville Jaguars-3 · -105DraftKings · Sep 27, 11:44 AM CT · +3¢ vs median price
Total · Over+46.5 · -108BetMGM · Sep 27, 11:45 AM CT · +4.5¢ vs median price
Total · Under+46.5 · -105DraftKings · Sep 27, 11:44 AM CT · +2.5¢ vs median price
Spread and total prices compare only at the exact consensus line. No outbound sportsbook links.

Line movement

Home spread-3 → -32 saved consensus captures
Total+46.5 → +46.52 saved consensus captures
First saved multi-book capture vs latest saved pre-start consensus; no new odds request.

What moves this game

Starting quarterback status: Not available. Injury information: Not available. Outdoor weather: Not available.

Sports Rounders play

No qualified play.

AwayNew England Patriots+3 (-110)+136DraftKings
Final6–35CBS
HomeJacksonville Jaguars-2.5 (-122)-157BetRivers

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Final result and recap

New England Patriots 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 35

Jacksonville Jaguars won by 29 points in a game that produced 41 total points. The pregame market favorite won outright. The permanent Official Play ledger, rather than this public preview, determines any graded betting result.

Pregame market call
Jacksonville Jaguars
Closing spread reference
Jacksonville Jaguars -3
Closing total reference
46.5

Matchup at a glance

The essential game context

Kickoff
12:00 PM CT
September 27, 2026
Week
3
Regular season
Books reporting
TBD
Connected US market feed
Availability flags
Not available

Game environment

Venue, surface and weather

Venue
EverBank Stadium
Location
Jacksonville, FL
Surface / roof
Outdoor
Forecast
Forecast pending

Price context

Two-sided markets

Best displayed moneyline
Patriots +136 · Jaguars -157
Best displayed spreads
+3 (-110) · -2.5 (-122)
Same-book no-vig market
Patriots 41.1% · Jaguars 58.9%
Market feed update
7:15 PM CT

Same-book market board

Line, price and source stay together

Paired prices below come from one sportsbook at one market snapshot. Best displayed prices may be better, but can come from different books.

MarketPatriotsJaguarsSource
Moneyline+134-158FanDuel
Spread+3 (-110)-3 (-108)BetMGM
TotalOver 46.5 (-108)Under 46.5 (-110)BetMGM

What the market is saying

Implied score and key-number context

These are derived from the consensus spread and total. They summarize the market; they are not Sports Rounders projections.

Market-implied away score21.8New England Patriots
Market-implied home score24.8Jacksonville Jaguars
Key-number positionOn 3Current favorite spread: 3
Scoring environmentMiddle rangeRelative classification, not a bet

Market analysis

How the prices fit together

Jacksonville Jaguars -3. Consensus total: 46.5.

Current-season form

Team statistics

Not available

Availability report

Injuries and player status

Not available

Sports Rounders NFL policy

Research first, release every qualified value.

The market favorite, public narrative, or injury list cannot manufacture an edge. Every fully priced, evidence-complete candidate may release when its lane clears.

Spread

Jacksonville Jaguars -3

Key-number movement through 3, 6, 7, 10 and 14 can materially change value.

Total

46.5 points

Pace, neutral pass rate, explosive plays, red-zone efficiency, weather and injuries require a separate scoring forecast.

Release status

Live model

No release-count cap; the model sizes and permanently grades every qualified lane.

Matchup FAQ

Common questions about New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

What is the New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prediction?

Jacksonville Jaguars at 59.0% from the median no-vig probability across 6 independent books.

What is the spread for New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville Jaguars -3 is the saved consensus spread.

What is the total for New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars?

The saved consensus total is 46.5 points.

Is this a bet recommendation?

No. Market consensus, not a bet recommendation.