NFL · Week 1 · September 9, 2026
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks prediction, odds and preview
Current market, injury report, venue, weather and decision context for 7:20 PM CT. Data updates as providers post changes.
New England Patriots0-0 · +3.5 (-105)+165BetMGM
Seattle Seahawks0-0 · -3.5 (-101)-180DraftKingsCurrent market snapshot
Seattle Seahawks are favored by 3.5
The best displayed moneylines are New England Patriots +165 and Seattle Seahawks -180. After removing the paired-market hold, that implies roughly 37.0% versus 63.0%. This is not an independent model probability.
- Consensus spread
- Seattle Seahawks -3.5
- Consensus total
- 44.5
- Model status
- Coverage only
Game environment
Venue, surface and weather
- Venue
- Lumen Field
- Location
- Seattle, WA
- Surface / roof
- Artificial turf · Outdoor
- Forecast
- 72°F · 0% precipitation · gusts 16 mph
Price context
Two-sided markets
- Moneyline
- Patriots +165 · Seahawks -180
- Spread prices
- +3.5 (-105) · -3.5 (-101)
- No-vig market
- Patriots 37.0% · Seahawks 63.0%
- Last page update
- 4:49 PM CT
Availability report
Injuries and player status
Statuses can change quickly. Recheck inactive lists and credible team reporting before kickoff.
Seattle Seahawks
- Amari Kight OTInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Aaron Smith LBInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Power Echols LBInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Brock Lampe FBInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Irv Charles WRInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
New England Patriots
- TreVeyon Henderson RBquestionable · Ankle
- Bryce Baringer PInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Khalil Jacobs LBquestionable · Undisclosed
- Isaiah Iton DTInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Eric Butler SInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
Deep-dive checklist
What still decides whether the number is playable
Quarterback and skill availability
Confirm the starting quarterback, mobility and throwing health, protection changes, receiver roles and expected snap limits.
Trenches in both directions
Measure pass protection versus pressure, run blocking versus front strength, injuries, continuity and likely game-script leverage.
Efficiency and explosiveness
Separate sustainable early-down success and EPA from turnovers, short fields, broken plays and red-zone variance.
Coverage and matchup usage
Evaluate outside, slot, tight-end and running-back receiving roles against the opponent’s coverage structure and personnel.
Coaching, pace and special teams
Account for fourth-down decisions, neutral pace, pass rate, kicking, punting, returns and field-position effects.
Travel, rest and weather
Verify body-clock travel, short weeks, altitude, surface, roof, wind and precipitation at the actual kickoff window.
Sports Rounders NFL policy
Research page, not an Official Play.
The market favorite, public narrative or injury list cannot manufacture an edge. NFL recommendations remain unavailable until a distinct NFL model and prospective validation gate exist.
Seattle Seahawks -3.5
Key-number movement through 3, 6, 7, 10 and 14 can materially change value.
44.5 points
Pace, neutral pass rate, explosive plays, red-zone efficiency, weather and injuries require a separate scoring forecast.
No customer pick
This page will never silently turn market consensus into a proprietary recommendation.
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