NFL · Week 1 · September 13, 2026
New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions prediction, odds and preview
Current market, injury report, venue, weather and decision context for 12:00 PM CT. Data updates as providers post changes.
New Orleans Saints0-0 · +7 (-109)+265FanDuel
Detroit Lions0-0 · -6.5 (-122)-300BetMGMCurrent market snapshot
Detroit Lions are favored by 7
The best displayed moneylines are New Orleans Saints +265 and Detroit Lions -300. After removing the paired-market hold, that implies roughly 26.8% versus 73.2%. This is not an independent model probability.
- Consensus spread
- Detroit Lions -7
- Consensus total
- 50.5
- Model status
- Coverage only
Game environment
Venue, surface and weather
- Venue
- Ford Field
- Location
- Detroit, MI
- Surface / roof
- Artificial turf · Indoor
- Forecast
- Indoor game
Price context
Two-sided markets
- Moneyline
- Saints +265 · Lions -300
- Spread prices
- +7 (-109) · -6.5 (-122)
- No-vig market
- Saints 26.8% · Lions 73.2%
- Last page update
- 4:42 PM CT
Availability report
Injuries and player status
Statuses can change quickly. Recheck inactive lists and credible team reporting before kickoff.
Detroit Lions
- Isiah Pacheco RBInjured Reserve · Back
- Michael Niese GInjured Reserve · Leg
- Giovanni Manu OTout · Knee
- Cade Mays CInjured Reserve · Wrist
- Kerby Joseph Sout · Knee
New Orleans Saints
- Lorenzo Styles Jr. SInjured Reserve · Calf
- Kendre Miller RBquestionable · Undisclosed
- Barry Wesley OTInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Michael Heldman DEInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
- Jaylan Ford LBInjured Reserve · Undisclosed
Deep-dive checklist
What still decides whether the number is playable
Quarterback and skill availability
Confirm the starting quarterback, mobility and throwing health, protection changes, receiver roles and expected snap limits.
Trenches in both directions
Measure pass protection versus pressure, run blocking versus front strength, injuries, continuity and likely game-script leverage.
Efficiency and explosiveness
Separate sustainable early-down success and EPA from turnovers, short fields, broken plays and red-zone variance.
Coverage and matchup usage
Evaluate outside, slot, tight-end and running-back receiving roles against the opponent’s coverage structure and personnel.
Coaching, pace and special teams
Account for fourth-down decisions, neutral pace, pass rate, kicking, punting, returns and field-position effects.
Travel, rest and weather
Verify body-clock travel, short weeks, altitude, surface, roof, wind and precipitation at the actual kickoff window.
Sports Rounders NFL policy
Research page, not an Official Play.
The market favorite, public narrative or injury list cannot manufacture an edge. NFL recommendations remain unavailable until a distinct NFL model and prospective validation gate exist.
Detroit Lions -7
Key-number movement through 3, 6, 7, 10 and 14 can materially change value.
50.5 points
Pace, neutral pass rate, explosive plays, red-zone efficiency, weather and injuries require a separate scoring forecast.
No customer pick
This page will never silently turn market consensus into a proprietary recommendation.
Free research updates
Follow the NFL slate before you subscribe.
Get upcoming boards, model notes, new-research alerts, and the weekly public record recap. No payment required.