NHL matchup preview · Saturday, October 24

Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

12:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · FUT. Official starter states, prior-season rates and the current approved-book market are shown separately.

Starting goalie boardAll NHL games
Experimental NHL model SR-NHL-0.2-shadow · shadow only · no official play

Current-season team scoring and defence rates are blended toward prior-season rates, with both shrunk toward league average. A small home-ice prior and sample-shrunk goalie adjustment are also applied when ESPN confirms both starters. This showed modest outcome-only improvement in a two-season chronological test, but has not passed market or CLV validation; it is not a recommended bet, edge, or playable price.

Starting goalies

Starter status is recorded with every forecast.

Anaheim Ducks: Lukas Dostalexpected20252026 stats · SV% 88.8 · GAA 3.10 · 55 startsSource →
Philadelphia Flyers: Joseph Wollexpected20252026 stats · SV% 89.9 · GAA 3.34 · 38 startsSource →
Full starting-goalie tracker →

Model baseline

Score projection

ANA 2.82 — 3.11 PHI
Away win estimate
45.4%
Home win estimate
54.6%
Modelled total
5.92
Both goalies confirmed
No — goalie adjustment withheld
NHL.com · current rates: 20262027 · shrinkage prior: 20252026 · method independent-poisson-score-matrix-v0.2-seasonal-shrinkage.

Current market

Paired prices

MoneylineANA +110 · PHI -130BetRivers · refreshed 6:28 PM CT
Puck lineANA 1.5 -250 · PHI -1.5 +195BetRivers · refreshed 6:28 PM CT
TotalOver 6.5 +110 · Under 6.5 -137BetRivers · refreshed 6:28 PM CT

NHL.com schedule and historical team rates · ESPN starting-goalie status · The Odds API market feed filtered to approved sportsbooks. Market feed status: The Odds API live sportsbook pairs.