NHL matchup preview · Saturday, October 24

Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken

9:00 PM CT · Climate Pledge Arena · FUT. Official starter states, prior-season rates and the current approved-book market are shown separately.

Experimental NHL model SR-NHL-0.2-shadow · shadow only · no official play

Current-season team scoring and defence rates are blended toward prior-season rates, with both shrunk toward league average. A small home-ice prior and sample-shrunk goalie adjustment are also applied when ESPN confirms both starters. This showed modest outcome-only improvement in a two-season chronological test, but has not passed market or CLV validation; it is not a recommended bet, edge, or playable price.

Starting goalies

Starter status is recorded with every forecast.

Minnesota Wild: Jesper Wallstedtexpected20252026 stats · SV% 91.6 · GAA 2.61 · 33 startsSource →
Seattle Kraken: Joey Daccordexpected20252026 stats · SV% 89.7 · GAA 3.03 · 46 startsSource →
Full starting-goalie tracker →

Model baseline

Score projection

MIN 2.98 — 3.13 SEA
Away win estimate
47.6%
Home win estimate
52.4%
Modelled total
6.11
Both goalies confirmed
No — goalie adjustment withheld
NHL.com · current rates: 20262027 · shrinkage prior: 20252026 · method independent-poisson-score-matrix-v0.2-seasonal-shrinkage.

Current market

Paired prices

MoneylineMIN -155 · SEA +130DraftKings · refreshed 6:29 PM CT
Puck lineMIN -1.5 +160 · SEA 1.5 -192DraftKings · refreshed 6:29 PM CT
TotalOver 6.5 +110 · Under 6.5 -130DraftKings · refreshed 6:29 PM CT

NHL.com schedule and historical team rates · ESPN starting-goalie status · The Odds API market feed filtered to approved sportsbooks. Market feed status: The Odds API live sportsbook pairs.