NHL matchup preview · Sunday, October 25

Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

6:00 PM CT · Princess Auto Stadium · FUT. Official starter states, prior-season rates and the current approved-book market are shown separately.

Starting goalie boardAll NHL games
Experimental NHL model SR-NHL-0.2-shadow · shadow only · no official play

Current-season team scoring and defence rates are blended toward prior-season rates, with both shrunk toward league average. A small home-ice prior and sample-shrunk goalie adjustment are also applied when ESPN confirms both starters. This showed modest outcome-only improvement in a two-season chronological test, but has not passed market or CLV validation; it is not a recommended bet, edge, or playable price.

Starting goalies

Starter status is recorded with every forecast.

Montréal Canadiens: Jakub Dobesexpected20252026 stats · SV% 90.1 · GAA 2.78 · 42 startsSource →
Winnipeg Jets: Stuart Skinnerexpected20252026 stats · SV% 88.8 · GAA 2.92 · 50 startsSource →
Full starting-goalie tracker →

Model baseline

Score projection

MTL 2.97 — 3.20 WPG
Away win estimate
46.4%
Home win estimate
53.6%
Modelled total
6.17
Both goalies confirmed
No — goalie adjustment withheld
NHL.com · current rates: 20262027 · shrinkage prior: 20252026 · method independent-poisson-score-matrix-v0.2-seasonal-shrinkage.

Current market

Paired prices

MoneylineCurrent paired price unavailable
Puck lineCurrent paired price unavailable
TotalCurrent paired price unavailable

NHL.com schedule and historical team rates · ESPN starting-goalie status · The Odds API market feed filtered to approved sportsbooks. Market feed status: The Odds API live sportsbook pairs.