NHL matchup preview · Saturday, October 24

Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins

6:00 PM CT · PPG Paints Arena · FUT. Official starter states, prior-season rates and the current approved-book market are shown separately.

Experimental NHL model SR-NHL-0.2-shadow · shadow only · no official play

Current-season team scoring and defence rates are blended toward prior-season rates, with both shrunk toward league average. A small home-ice prior and sample-shrunk goalie adjustment are also applied when ESPN confirms both starters. This showed modest outcome-only improvement in a two-season chronological test, but has not passed market or CLV validation; it is not a recommended bet, edge, or playable price.

Starting goalies

Starter status is recorded with every forecast.

Nashville Predators: Juuse Sarosexpected20252026 stats · SV% 89.4 · GAA 3.16 · 59 startsSource →
Pittsburgh Penguins: Arturs Silovsexpected20252026 stats · SV% 88.8 · GAA 3.07 · 38 startsSource →
Full starting-goalie tracker →

Model baseline

Score projection

NSH 2.85 — 3.46 PIT
Away win estimate
40.5%
Home win estimate
59.5%
Modelled total
6.31
Both goalies confirmed
No — goalie adjustment withheld
NHL.com · current rates: 20262027 · shrinkage prior: 20252026 · method independent-poisson-score-matrix-v0.2-seasonal-shrinkage.

Current market

Paired prices

MoneylineNSH +114 · PIT -135DraftKings · refreshed 6:28 PM CT
Puck lineNSH 1.5 -218 · PIT -1.5 +180DraftKings · refreshed 6:28 PM CT
TotalOver 6.5 -108 · Under 6.5 -112DraftKings · refreshed 6:28 PM CT

NHL.com schedule and historical team rates · ESPN starting-goalie status · The Odds API market feed filtered to approved sportsbooks. Market feed status: The Odds API live sportsbook pairs.