NHL matchup preview · Saturday, October 24

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

6:00 PM CT · Canadian Tire Centre · FUT. Official starter states, prior-season rates and the current approved-book market are shown separately.

Starting goalie boardAll NHL games
Experimental NHL model SR-NHL-0.2-shadow · shadow only · no official play

Current-season team scoring and defence rates are blended toward prior-season rates, with both shrunk toward league average. A small home-ice prior and sample-shrunk goalie adjustment are also applied when ESPN confirms both starters. This showed modest outcome-only improvement in a two-season chronological test, but has not passed market or CLV validation; it is not a recommended bet, edge, or playable price.

Starting goalies

Starter status is recorded with every forecast.

New York Rangers: Dylan Garandexpected20252026 stats · SV% 94.8 · GAA 1.62 · 3 startsSource →
Ottawa Senators: Jonas Johanssonexpected20252026 stats · SV% 88.4 · GAA 3.29 · 23 startsSource →
Full starting-goalie tracker →

Model baseline

Score projection

NYR 2.76 — 3.11 OTT
Away win estimate
44.3%
Home win estimate
55.7%
Modelled total
5.87
Both goalies confirmed
No — goalie adjustment withheld
NHL.com · current rates: 20262027 · shrinkage prior: 20252026 · method independent-poisson-score-matrix-v0.2-seasonal-shrinkage.

Current market

Paired prices

MoneylineNYR +102 · OTT -122DraftKings · refreshed 6:28 PM CT
Puck lineNYR 1.5 -238 · OTT -1.5 +195DraftKings · refreshed 6:28 PM CT
TotalOver 5.5 -135 · Under 5.5 +114DraftKings · refreshed 6:28 PM CT

NHL.com schedule and historical team rates · ESPN starting-goalie status · The Odds API market feed filtered to approved sportsbooks. Market feed status: The Odds API live sportsbook pairs.